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Population and year
Model outcomes, per 100 K
TB transmission events
New infection
New TB cases
Deaths due to TB
Life-years lost due to TB
Point estimate
95% CI
Point estimate
95% CI
Point estimate
95% CI
Point estimate
95% CI
Point estimate
95% CI
Residents
2015
74
65, 85
96
83, 108
22.4
20.2, 25.1
1.64
1.36, 1.93
29.1
24.6, 35.0
2020
53
46, 61
71
61, 83
18.4
16.4, 21.0
1.33
1.09, 1.59
21.9
18.7, 26.4
2025
43
36, 50
62
52, 73
15.5
13.7, 17.8
1.15
0.94, 1.38
18.0
15.3, 21.6
2035
32
26, 38
51
40, 61
11.3
9.8, 13.2
0.85
0.69, 1.04
12.9
11.2, 15.4
Migrants
2015
364
308, 430
255
216, 294
37.0
33.9, 40.6
1.37
1.14, 1.64
50.8
42.3, 59.0
2020
258
215, 314
191
164, 228
29.3
26.5, 32.8
1.06
0.89, 1.30
37.4
31.0, 44.9
2025
217
179, 269
169
140, 211
25.2
22.3, 28.4
0.91
0.77, 1.11
31.3
26.1, 37.6
2035
170
138, 218
140
112, 175
19.6
17.1, 22.9
0.7
0.58, 0.85
24.2
20.1, 29.5
Total
2015
253
216, 294
194
165, 221
31.4
28.9, 34.1
1.47
1.27, 1.75
42.5
35.5, 49.3
2020
172
142, 214
141
120, 170
24.8
22.3, 28.1
1.17
1.01, 1.42
30.9
26.2, 36.3
2025
140
106, 185
121
94, 156
20.9
18.1, 23.8
1.01
0.86, 1.23
25.4
21.7, 30.8
2035
104
73, 141
98
71, 130
15.6
13.1, 18.6
0.77
0.66, 0.94
18.8
15.5, 23.6
